Вы собственную ссылку читали? Точно поняли текст? Формы might и would знакомы?
Источник, который в пересказе Рейтерс опубликован Чикагской трибуной:
Westerbeke: Going by the intelligence available, it is my opinion that a shooting down by a surface to air missile remains the most likely scenario. But we are not closing our eyes to the possibility that things might have happened differently.